CHANGING TRENDS IN LUNG CANCER EPIDEMIOLOGY
Dr Shilpa Chandran1, Dr Ravindran
Chetambath2
1Resident
Trainee, 2Senior Consultant & Chief of Medical Services
Dept. of Pulmonology, Baby Memorial Hospital,
Calicut, Kerala
Abstract
Lung
cancer is one of the deadliest cancers globally and accounts for most of the
cancer-related deaths. Lung cancer is mostly attributed to smoking even though
exposure to environmental pollutants and occupational agents also contributes
to its causation. For the last 2 decades there is a change in epidemiology and
histopathological types of lung cancer. More and more women are affected that
too at a younger age when compared to their male counterparts. Another
important change noticed is the increase in number of adenocarcinoma surpassing
previously predominant squamous cell carcinoma. This article reviews the
changes in the epidemiological and histopathological trends in lung cancer.
Key Words
Lung
Cancer, trends, cigarette smoking
Introduction
Lung
cancer is one of the deadliest cancers globally and accounts for most of the
cancer-related deaths. In the last century carcinoma of the lung has progressed
from an uncommon and obscure disease to one of the most common cancers in the
world. In the late 1840s there were only 22 ever published cases of lung
cancer. In 1912 Adler identified only 374 published cases.1 According
to GLOBOCAN data 2.21 million lung cancer cases were diagnosed in the year of
2020 worldwide.
(Data
source GLOBOCAN 2020)
Comprehensive
data on lung cancer in India are lacking. According to GLOBOCAN 2020 data lung
cancer was ranked the fourth leading cause of cancer in India in all ages and
sexes. Furthermore 66,279 of all cancer related deaths were attributed
to lung cancer. In India, lung cancer constitutes 6.9 per cent of
all new cancer cases and 9.3 per cent of all cancer related deaths in both
sexes.
Notable
changes in lung cancer epidemiology have occurred over the past decade owing to
the changes in smoking patterns, advances in our understanding of the genetics
of lung cancer, role of immune systems in the control of lung cancer and
options available for lung cancer treatment. Several studies, including a ten year study conducted at All India Institute of Medical Sciences (AIIMS)
Delhi2 have reported that adenocarcinoma (ADC) has
surpassed squamous cell carcinoma (SCC) as the most common histological subtype
of lung cancer. This shift seems to be attributable partly to the changed
smoking pattern and the increasing incidence of lung cancer in females and non-smokers.
In contrast, Jindal et al in 1990 after a 10 year follow up study reported that SCC is
the most common subtype in India.3
Figure-2:
Estimated number of new cases in 2020 (India), both sexes, all ages
(Data source GLOBOCAN 2020)
Change in Incidence Among
Males and Females
Incidence
trends and geographical patterns are different for men and women and primarily
reflect historical, cultural and regional differences in tobacco smoking. Risch et al4. has proposed a hypothesis that women
smokers are at higher risk of lung cancer than men.
It was found that the odds ratio
for women was almost three times greater than that for men (27.9 vs.
9.6), when smokers with a 40 pack-year smoking history were compared to
non-smokers5, 6. In addition, Zang and Wynder have shown that the odds ratios
for major lung cancer types are consistently higher in women than in men at
every level of exposure to cigarette smoke and that these gender differences
are likely due to the higher susceptibility to tobacco carcinogens in women7.
Over the past decade, due to intensive smoking
cessation programs and subsequent reductions in tobacco consumption, incidence
rates and deaths attributable to lung cancer declined. However, lung cancer
incidence rates have not decreased as much as expected. There
are increasing evidence showing
variations in rates of decline in lung cancer by sex and race/ethnicity. In
a study conducted in California by Manali Patel et al in 2017 it is reported
that there is an increase in lung cancer incidence among low socioeconomic
class females and for adenocarcinoma8.
The reasons behind higher female lung cancer
rates in recent years have been attributed to smoking. However, others have
refuted smoking as the sole reason for the higher incidence rates among females7 and
suggest that non-smoking related risk factors may be contributing to the higher
rates of lung cancer incidence among females as compared with males.
In a recent study, Jemal and colleagues showed
continued sex-based incidence differences and presented compelling evidence
that these discrepancies may not be attributed to smoking behaviours in the
United States10. The investigators ascertained incidence
trends from 1995 to 2014 using the North American Association of Central Cancer
Registries and smoking prevalence trends from 1970 to 2016 by race/ethnicity,
age, and sex, using the National Health Interview Study. The authors found an
overall decrease in the rate of new lung cancer diagnoses, this trend was
driven primarily by a decrease in incidence among non-Hispanic white and
Hispanic males. The authors noted increased lung cancer incidence rate ratios
(IRR) among females as compared with males from the mid-1990s to 2010-2014 [IRR
among persons 40–44 increased from 0.82 (95% CI, 0.79–0.85) to 1.13 (95% CI,
1.08–1.18)]. The authors concluded that the patterns of historically
higher incidence rates of lung cancer among men than among women have reversed
among non-Hispanic whites and Hispanics born since the mid-1960s, and they are
not fully explained by sex differences in smoking behaviours. The rate of new cases (incidence) increased 14% among men from 1975
until peaking in 1984, and has since decreased 46%. The rate of new cases
increased 120% among women from 1975 until peaking in 1998, and has since
decreased 16%.
Few studies reported that the interaction
between tobacco carcinogens and endogenous and exogenous sex steroids may be
important. Women taking hormone replacement therapy (HRT) or oral
contraceptives experienced to have an increased lung cancer incidence.
Epidemiologic data on HRT show a significant association between both a younger
median age at lung cancer diagnosis and a shorter median survival time. Another
clue is the significantly higher number of lung cancer diagnosed women who are
largely premenopausal in comparison to diagnosed men in the same age or women
with shorter menstrual cycles.
Studies from East Asia have also shown an
increased risk of lung cancer in women with shorter menstrual cycles (threefold
higher risk) implying a higher number of hormone influences during the
reproductive period11. Death rates increased for both men
and women from 1930 until peaking in 1990 at 91.1 per 100,000 for men and in
2002 at 41.6 per 100,000 for women. Over the last 10 years, rates have
decreased by 31% for men and 24% for women.
Age Group
Older
age is associated with cancer development due to biologic factors that include
DNA damage over time and shortening telomeres.
According to the American Cancer Society,
most people diagnosed with lung cancer are
65 years or older, with the average age at diagnosis being 70 years.
Laura Guarga et. al. studied trends in lung cancer
incidence by age and the data suggest a decrease in the absolute
number of new cases in men under the age of 70 years and an increase in women
aged 60 years or older12.
Three quarters of lung cancer deaths
in 2019 occurred among those aged 65 years of age and older, and 95% among
those aged 55 years of age and older.
In
a recent study conducted by Anand Mohan et al, majority of the patients were
males (82.9%), in the age bracket of 46–70 years, with mean (SD)
age of 58 (11.1) years. The mean age remained relatively unchanged over
the study time‑period. The proportion of females showed an increasing
trend, from 7.9% in 2008 to 27.2% in 2018.2
Histology and Smoking
Pattern
In recent years, there has been a great
interest in the histological characterization and genomic classification of
lung carcinoma due to the availability of several new targeted therapeutic
modalities. The use of generic terms such as non-small cell lung
cancer (NSCLC) and small cell lung cancer (SCLC) are being questioned.
The
cause–effect relationship between cigarette smoking and lung cancer is
undisputed. Lung cancers that develop as a result of cigarette smoking present in
a wide variety of histological phenotypes. This likely reflects the complexity
of cigarette smoke, which contains large numbers of different carcinogens. The
most common histological variants of lung cancer related to smoking are
squamous cell carcinoma (epidermoid carcinoma), adenocarcinoma and small cell
carcinoma, but less common variants of neuroendocrine neoplasms of varying
degrees of malignancy are also associated with cigarette smoking. The
relationship between cigarette smoking and adenocarcinoma of the lung was
previously thought to be less than that between smoking and squamous cell
carcinoma and small cell carcinoma, but data over the past few decades
convincingly point to a cause–effect relationship for tobacco and adenocarcinoma13,14.
Another major diagnostic category of lung cancer, large cell carcinoma, might
represent poorly differentiated squamous cell cancers or adenocarcinomas, and
these cancers are also closely related to tobacco use13.
Major shifts have been recorded for frequencies of the various
histological types of lung cancer in many countries, with significant increases
in the relative incidence of adenocarcinoma
Devasa et. al.
reported that Squamous
cell carcinoma rates among males declined 30% or more in North America and some
European countries, while changing less dramatically in other areas; small cell
carcinoma rates decreased less rapidly. Squamous and small cell carcinoma rates
among females generally rose, with the increases especially pronounced in the
Netherlands and Norway. In contrast, adenocarcinoma rates rose among males and
females in virtually all areas, with the increases among males exceeding 50% in many areas of Europe; among
females, rates also rose rapidly and more than doubled in Norway, Italy and
France. Rates of all lung cancer types among women and adenocarcinoma among men
continue to rise despite declining cigarette use in many Western countries and
shifts to filtered/low-tar cigarettes15. In the Western countries and most of the Asian countries, adenocarcinoma
has surpassed squamous cell carcinoma.
It
is widely accepted that the changes in cigarette design are responsible for the
shifts in lung cancer pathology. Most notably, with emerging evidence that
cigarettes are the major cause of lung cancer, and recognition of cigarette tar
as a reservoir of carcinogens, consumers demand for filtered cigarettes.
Cigarette filters are designed to trap tars, and filters typically also have
small perforations, which are intended to dilute mainstream smoke. In 1950,
less than 1% of all cigarettes sold in the USA had filter tips, but by the late
1990s filter cigarettes constituted more than 97% of the US market.
Another
important change in cigarette composition over past decades is in the tobacco
blends used in cigarette manufacturing, with a general increase in the amounts
of stems and ribs used in the cigarette blends. The stems and ribs of burley
tobacco have particularly high levels of nitrates. This later trend is of
particular significance, because NNK [4- (methyl-nitrosamino)-1-(3-pyridyl)-1-butanone]
appears to be a carcinogen highly specific for pulmonary adenocarcinomas in
animal studies16.
In
principle, the use of filter cigarettes reduces the levels of both tar and
nitrosamines in the mainstream smoke. Although current smokers generally have
decreased exposure to tars and the carcinogens in tars (such as polycyclic
aromatic hydrocarbons (PAH)), compared with smokers of the past, craving for
nicotine (the major addictive substance of cigarette smoke) appears to cause
smokers to cover ventilation holes along the sides of the filters, and also
inhale more intensely to satisfy the nicotine crave. For example, studies have
shown that smokers of filtered cigarettes take more frequent puffs, and
increased volume with each puff, resulting in the peripheral lung being exposed
to a proportionally higher level of carcinogens17. The net result of these
changes in cigarette design and pattern of smoke inhalation is a transformation
in the anatomic distribution of carcinogen exposure as well as significant
alterations in the levels of different carcinogens. These changes are commonly attributed
for the shifts in lung cancer histology by increasing incidence of peripheral
adenocarcinoma and decreasing incidence of central squamous cell carcinoma.
Although
the longitudinal and histology-specific lung cancer data are not as extensive
for Asian, African, or South American countries, it appears that similar trends
pervade worldwide. Lam et. al. studied the lung cancer patterns in Asian
population.
To
a large extent, overall increases in lung cancer in these countries parallel
the increasing consumption of cigarettes, particularly among men and it appears
that the same general histological patterns are seen for these cancers as for
the smoking-related cancers in North America and Europe. However, lung cancer
in Asian women also appears to be increasing in incidence, and in general,
these cancers appear to be predominantly adenocarcinoma. This trend appears to
involve rural as well as urban women, and although there is no reliable data
for cigarette consumption among women in Asia, there is a general impression
that this in relatively independent of cigarette smoking17.
In the initial years of a 10 year
study conducted by Anand Mohan et al SCC dominated the morphological
type of NSCLC but was overtaken by ADC in 2012, and this trend continued till
2018.16 It should be noted, however, that the
distribution of SCC and SCLC remained largely unchanged, while the frequency of
NSCLC- NOS declined. This occurred most likely due to the changing practices of
pathological reporting keeping in tune with the advancement in
immunohistochemical techniques and based on the revision of guidelines for
pathological reporting for lung cancer. Another contributory factor may be an
increase in the proportion of females over the 10-year period.
Conclusion
In
reviewing the available literature, it is evident that lung cancer incidence is
increasing among females, that too at a younger age when compared to their male
counter parts. Apart from smoking female hormonal influences are also
attributed to this higher incidence. The predominant histopathological type now
is adenocarcinoma in all age group and in both sexes.
References
1.
Primary
Malignant Growths of the Lungs and Bronchi. JAMA. 1912; 59 (26):2334.
doi:10.1001/jama.
2.
Mohan A, Garg A, Gupta A, Sahu S,
Choudhari C, Vashistha V, Ansari A, Pandey R, Bhalla AS, Madan K, Hadda V, Iyer
H, Jain D, Kumar R, Mittal S, Tiwari P, Pandey RM, Guleria R. Clinical profile
of lung cancer in North India: A 10-year analysis of 1862 patients from a
tertiary care center. Lung India. 2020; 37(3):190-97. doi: 10.4103/ lungindia. 333_19.
3.
Jindal SK, Behera D. Clinical
spectrum of primary lung cancer: Review of Chandigarh experience of 10 years.
Lung India 1990; 8:94-98.
- Risch HA, Howe GR, Jain M, et
al. Lung cancer risk for female smokers. Science 1994; 263: 1206– 08.
- Risch HA, Miller AB. Re: are women
more susceptible to lung cancer? J Natl Cancer Inst 2004; 96: 1560-61.
- , Differences in lung cancer risk
between men and women: examination of the evidence. J Natl Cancer Inst 1996; 88:183–92. .
- Patel
MI, McKinley M, Cheng I, Haile R, Wakelee H, Gomez SL. Lung cancer
incidence trends in California by race/ethnicity, histology, sex, and
neighborhood socioeconomic status: An analysis spanning 28 years. Lung
Cancer. 2017 Jun; 108:140-49.
- Wakelee
HA, Chang ET, Gomez SL, Keegan TH, Feskanich D, Clarke CA, Holmberg L,
Yong LC, Kolonel LN, Gould MK, West DW. Lung cancer incidence in never
smokers. J Clin Oncol. 2007 Feb 10;25(5):472-78.
- Jemal
A, Miller KD, Ma J, Siegel RL, Fedewa SA, Islami F, Devesa SS, Thun MJ.
Higher Lung Cancer Incidence in Young Women Than Young Men in the United
States. N Engl J Med. 2018 May 24;378(21):1999-2009.
- , Diet, reproductive factors and
lung cancer risk among Chinese women in Singapore: evidence for a
protective effect of soy in nonsmokers. Int J Cancer 2002;
97:365–71. , , Philip E, Wang Y T, Tan W
C, et al.
- Guarga
L, Ameijide A , Gragera RM, Carulla M, Delgadillo J, Borràs JM, et al. Trends
in lung cancer incidence by age, sex and histology from 2012 to 2025 in
Catalonia (Spain). Sci Rep 11, 23274 (2021).
- Khuder SA. Effect of
cigarette smoking on major histological types of lung cancer: a
meta-analysis. Lung Cancer 2001; 31: 139–48.
- P Yang 1, J R
Cerhan, R A Vierkant, J E Olson, C M Vachon, P J Limburg, et al.
Adenocarcinoma of the lung is strongly associated with cigarette smoking:
further evidence from a prospective study of women. Am. J. Epidemiol.
2002; 156: 1114–22.
- Devesa
SS, Bray F, Vizcaino AP, Parkin DM. International lung cancer trends by
histologic type: male:female differences diminishing and adenocarcinoma
rates rising. Int J Cancer. 2005 Nov 1;117(2):294-99.
- Hoffmann D, Rivenson
A, Hecht SS. The biological significance of tobacco-specific
N-nitrosamines: smoking and adenocarcinoma of the lung. Crit. Rev.
Toxicol. 1996; 26: 199–211.
- Wynder
EL, Muscat JE. The changing epidemiology of smoking and lung cancer
histology. Environ Health Perspect. 1995;103 (Suppl. 8):143-48.
- Lam WK, White NW,
Chan-Yeung MM. Lung cancer epidemiology and risk factors in Asia and
Africa. Int. J. Tuberc. Lung Dis. 2004; 8: 1045–57.